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Dialog 3 -Round 12

From Johnny 3/27/05

Brady wrote: "Argumentum consensus" is a fallacy. Again, that has gone right over your head. Let me put it in very simple words for you: numbers don't matter; cogent arguments are all that matters. Allow me to answer the old question for you: Yes, fifty thousand Frenchmen can be wrong!

Then I guess we should close down all of the history departments in all of the colleges and universities in the world and take all ancient documents at face value, right?

Christians scholars often state "The majority of critical scholars say..." This is obviously an appeal to a consensus. I am quite certain that you have sometimes done this yourself whenever you felt that it suited your purposes. You have probably appealed to an argumentum consensus regarding the early dating of 1st Corinthians.

In Lee Strobel's 'The Case For Christ,' William Lane Craig says "Only

Matthew reports that guards were placed around the tomb. But in any event, I don't think the guard story is an important facet of the evidence for the Resurrection. For one thing, it's too disputed by contemporary scholarship. I find it's prudent to base my arguments on evidence that's most widely accepted by the majority of scholars, so the guard story is better left aside." Craig is obviously making an appeal to a consensus of historians, even though he believes that guards were sent to the tomb.

I must thank you for refuting your own arguments. Merriam Webster's

11th Collegiate Dictionary defines "argumentum consensus" as "argument of the staff: appeal to force." In your previous reply you said the following: “But there are several problems with the fallacy of 'argumentum consensus,' or the argument from consensus."

Brady wrote: "In order to know there is a consensus, you need to know how many participants there are in total. You also need to know how many are on a particular side."

Then you need to know how many primary sources you actually have, which of course you don't. The possibility that some of the other Gospel writers borrowed from Mark cannot logically be discounted. There is no evidence at all how many sources Mark consulted, or even that his sources claimed to be eyewitnesses.

Brady wrote: "So, Johnny, please tell us exactly how many historians there are in the world? And how many of them agree with your position?

You previously found fault with argumentum consensus, and now you want me to produce one. Your deceptive nature and your stalling tactics are obvious here. You are the claimant here. I don't have to produce anything. I don't claim to know how the universe got here, but you do.

Brady wrote: "Oh, and please give us a list of all their names and addresses, so we can check up on you."

You are the claimant. You produce them. I told you in a previous reply that I will no longer be a claimant, but you keep trying to get me to become one. It won't work.

Brady wrote: "Second, a consensus doesn't tell us why someone affirms a position. Some of them may affirm something, but have bad reasons for the affirmation. This would invalidate the affirmation. Of course some people may have good reasons too. At this point we just don't know."

I agree, but obviously you don't. You have no clue why Mark wrote what he wrote, so following your own line of reasoning, he may have had bad reasons.

Brady wrote: "So Johnny, when you are putting together that list, please identify which argument each historian is resting his affirmation on.

When you as the claimant do that with the Gospels and Paul, I will consider it.

Brady wrote: "This shouldn't take to long. I know you must have these lists handy. After all, you wouldn't just be making this all up, would you? If the list is not presented, then we will know that, once again, you are a fraud, relying solely on made-up nonsense.

If you as the claimant do not produce such a list, "then we will know that, once again, you are a fraud, relying solely on made-up nonsense."

Brady wrote: "If you consider the above closely, you will readily see that it is not about numbers, but about good arguments. So far you have given none."

You need to tell that to William Lane Craig and a lot of the other top Christian apologists who refer to "multiple, independent attestations," which of course are not provably independent. If numbers don't actually matter, then you should never mention the 500 eyewitnesses. If Paul had only mentioned 10 eyewitnesses, would that have been convincing? Of course not. Paul was obviously appealing to an argumentum consensus. The problem for Paul is that there is no evidence that Jesus got close enough to the 500 witnesses for them to make a positive identification, or that he spoke with them collectively or individually, leaving open a reasonable possibility of an imposter. Such a possibility cannot be logically ruled out.

Brady wrote: "I am sure that all our readers are anxiously waiting your reply. Inquiring minds want to know!"

And I am sure that your readers are anxiously waiting for you state your case for the Resurrection, which you have not even begun to do.

Brady wrote: "P.S. We are still waiting for you to tell us what all those historians you contacted had to say."

You are the claimant, so you produce the historians.

I have excellent arguments without mentioning modern historians. I just wanted to show you that you as the claimant have no evidence that a general consensus of historians agree with you. The only evidence that you have is your primary sources, and you have yet to quote any of them one single time, possibly because you know that you will get into trouble if you do so. Even some of your fans must be wondering why you continue to refuse to state your case for the Resurrection. If you continue to refuse to state your case for the Resurrection, this might end up being "The debate that never was." I have never come across a Christian as evasive as you are. Are you going to state your case for the Resurrection or not? Since you continue to refuse to state your case for the Resurrection, I will now critique parts of your article on the Resurrections as follows:

Brady: Tip 1 - There is more evidence and better quality evidence for the reliability of the NT and the Resurrection of Jesus than there is for any other book or event of the ancient world. Once you have internalized this, your job becomes much easier.

And what evidence is that?

Brady: Tip 2 - The only way the atheist can get out of the Resurrection is to commit a logical fallacy.

That absurdity does not deserve a reply.

Brady: Tip 3 - There is no objective historical methodology that will confirm other comparable historical events of the period and refute the Resurrection.

Now will you please tell me which historical events make a claim similar to the claim that someone was born of a virgin, conceived by the Holy Spirit, never sinned, rose from the dead, was seen by over 500 people, and will one day return to earth?

How many widely trusted historical sources can you name who are anonymous? The identities of the Gospel writers are unknown. Even some Christian scholars admit this. Do you have any idea how many sources Mark consulted? Of course you don't. Do you have any idea whether or not Mark's sources claimed to be eyewitnesses? Of course you don't. Do you have any idea whether or not other Gospel writers borrowed from Mark? Of course you don't. Do you have any idea whether or not there were thousands of Christians by 40 A.D. as claimed by the book of Acts? Of course you don't.

Let's compare the claim of the Resurrection to the claim that Julius

Caesar crossed the Rubicon River after the Roman Senate had forbid him to enter Italy with his army.

The number of claimed eyewitnesses who saw Jesus after he rose from the dead is less than 600. The figure is completely unverifiable. A reasonable estimate of the number of people who would have seen Caesar's army enter Italy would have been in the tens of thousands, if not the hundreds of thousands.

While the New Testament indicates that after Jesus rose from the dead, he only stayed on earth for a few days, and was not widely available for public inspection, months after Caesar's army entered Italy it was still widely available for public inspection.

Further evidence that Caesar and his army entered Italy is the war that followed between his forces and the forces of Pompey the Great. Pompey opposed Caesar in response to a request by the Roman Senate.

Will you claim that the records of the war between the forces of Julius

Caesar and Pompey the Great could have been faked? I sure hope so.

Jesus deliberately avoided appearing to thousands of people (kind of strange, isn't it?), but Caesar made no attempts to conceal the presence of his army.

Brady: Tip 4 - Do not get into the evidence until you have a structure set up to determine if the quality and quantity of the evidence is sufficient to affirm the Resurrection.

The quality and the quantity of the evidence is conspicuous by its absence. So far, you haven't presented any evidence at all. Why is that?

Brady: Tip 5 - Any criteria or methodology that disproves the NT and

Resurrection will also disprove virtually every other ancient document and event. In other words, the only way to be consistent and get rid of the resurrection is to get rid of all of ancient history.

Typical of many other Christians, you attempt to change the widely accepted burden of proof into the burden of disproof. The Bible is full of original, primary claims from cover to cover. It is up to you to defend them, not for me to disprove them. I don't claim to know how the universe got here, but you do. No, I can't disprove the claim that a man saw a pig sprout wings and fly? Can you? If 500 people said that they had witnessed such an event, would you believe them? Of course not. If 500 people said that they saw Buddha rise from the dead, would you believe them? Of course not. You have defeated your own argument.

Brady: Tip 6 - When an Atheist presents some way-out criteria always challenge him to apply it to some other historical documents from the period that are already accepted as reliable to see if it will verify or falsify those documents.

When you present a widely accepted historical claim that is similar to the claims about Jesus that I mentioned in my reply to Tip 3, then we will have something to talk about. Can you do that? Of course you can't.

Countless billions of ordinary events happen all of the time, but the claims made about Jesus do not happen all of the time. In fact, if they did happen, they would have been the only such occurrences in all of history. The Resurrection is by no means a historical event. Your attempt to compare ordinary historical claims with the claims made about Jesus is patently absurd. While the odds are astronomical that ordinary historical events will occur, the odds against someone being born of a virgin, being conceived by the Holy Spirit, never sinning, rising from the dead, being seen by over 500 people, and one day returning to earth, are astronomical, and the claimed events are without prior precedent or subsequent duplication.

A fact that further undermines your arguments is that while countless billions of ordinary historical events still occur today, there is no evidence at all that miracles occur today, and that they can directly be attributed to the God of the Bible.

Christian missionaries in say in 150 A.D. didn't use a methodology even remotely resembling your modern methodology. The texts say that "faith cometh by hearing, and hearing by the word of God." Do you wish to dispute that? To a great extent, modern Bible apologists, including you, seek to influence people by means of logic, reason and tangible evidence. Apologists often tell prospective Christians "You don't have to shelve your intellect in order to become a Christian." In his book titled 'The Signature of God,' apologist Grant Jeffrey basically says "The blind faith of our forefathers is no longer enough." Such a notion is especially common in countries with higher educational standards. Logic, reason and tangible evidence alone are circumstantial evidence, and they have nothing whatsoever to do with faith. The article at your web site consists solely of logic, reason, and tangible evidence, otherwise stated circumstantial evidence. Why didn't you mention faith in the article? You have asked me to state a methodology for examining the claim that Jesus rose from the dead. I now ask you to state a methodology for examining why some peoples' faith causes them to become Christians, and some peoples' lack of faith causes them to become non-Christians. In other words, what motives cause some people to reject Christianity? Please state motives that would apply to all non-Christians.

Modern Bible apologetics makes a mockery out of the simple, trusting faith of millions of people who became Christians. If you had become a

Christian in 150 A.D., what methodology would you have used to proselytize people?

It is important to note that there is no evidence that the risen Jesus was not an imposter. Regarding the 500 eyewitnesses, the texts make no mention that Jesus got close to the crowd, or that he spoke with them collectively or individually. There is no mention of more that a handful of eyewitnesses in the Gospels.

I am still waiting for you to quote your primary sources. If you don't mention any, I will assume that you don't have any.

Please be sure to post all of my reply. I enjoy having the opportunity to embarrass you in front of your own readers.

Added by Johnny on 4/1/05

I am still waiting for you to admit that you were wrong about the following:

Brady said: I am not saying that there were two million Christians. I am just saying that IF THERE WERE, that the vast majority of the people never heard about most of the miracles. They had never seen the miracles, nor did they know anyone who had. Nor did they know anyone who knew someone who had. Nor did they know anyone who knew someone, who knew someone else who had seen the miracles. Nor did they have the writings of those who had seen the events. Which once again proves Stark's point is not worth the paper it is written on.

Johnny replied: My current (March 23) response to that is that the New

Testament easily defeats your argument. Matthew 4:24 says "And his fame went throughout all Syria: and they brought unto him all sick people that were taken with divers diseases and torments, and those which were possessed with devils, and those which were lunatick, and those that had the palsy; and he healed them." End of quotes.

Brady, in my numerous public and private debates with Christians, I have found that they almost never admit that they are wrong, even when it is clear to everyone on both sides of the aisle that they are wrong. You are wrong and you know it, but will you admit it? Your readers already know that you are wrong.

Is it your position that very few people knew about the claim that

Jesus fed 5,000 people with a few loaves of bread and a few fishes? I sure hope so. The texts make a lot of claims, but did thousands of people actually buy the claims? The book of Acts claims "many thousands" of Christians by 40 A.D., but there is no external evidence at all that supports the claim. What was claimed is one matter, but what was accepted is another matter entirely. Why do you assume that just because Paul and Mark claimed that Jesus rose from the dead that many thousands of people bought the claims?

Johnny

 

From Brady 4/13/05

Johnny,

As I have said before I am only going to comment on one point at a time. So, writing on a dozen different points is going to do you no good. You are not going to be able to weasel out of this point by throwing numerous red herrings around.

Let’s get back to our continuing conversation on “argumentum consensus.”

Johnny wrote: Then I guess we should close down all of the history departments in all of the colleges and universities in the world and take all ancient documents at face value, right?

No history department relies on “argumentum consensus” as a basic methodology. Most historians have methods that are inductive and objective by which they evaluate ancient documents for reliability. This is something you don’t have, so you must rely on fallacies for your arguments.

Johnny wrote: Christians scholars often state "The majority of critical scholars say..." This is obviously an appeal to a consensus. I am quite certain that you have sometimes done this yourself whenever you felt that it suited your purposes. You have probably appealed to an argumentum consensus regarding the early dating of 1st Corinthians.

Any Christian who has done that has committed a fallacy and is wrong. No, I haven’t done it myself. But here in attempting to justify your use of a fallacy, you commit another fallacy: the fallacy of tu quoque (or the “You too” fallacy). This occurs when the person accused of doing something wrong, tries to turn it around and says the accusers has done it too; as if that makes it OK, in some irrational way.

Johnny wrote: I must thank you for refuting your own arguments. Merriam Webster's 11th Collegiate Dictionary defines "argumentum consensus" as "argument of the staff: appeal to force." In your previous reply you said the following: “But there are several problems with the fallacy of 'argumentum consensus,' or the argument from consensus."

I suggest you look again. Either your dictionary is as wacky as you are or, more likely, you read the wrong definition. “Argumentum ad Baculum” is the argument from the staff or stick. 'Argumentum consensus,' is the argument from consensus. But considering everything else, I don’t find it amazing that you can’t even get the definitions of these fallacies right. To help you, here are several logic web sites that define “Argumentum ad Baculum:”

http://www.fallacyfiles.org/adbacula.html

http://philosophy.lander.edu/logic/force.html

http://www.goodart.org/af.htm

Here are some sites that define “argumentum consensus:”

http://www.wdv.com/Writings/Fallacies/ (number 15)

http://klausler.com/fallacies.html

Hope you got it this time.

Brady wrote in a previous post: "In order to know there is a consensus, you need to know how many participants there are in total. You also need to know how many are on a particular side."

Johnny replied: Then you need to know how many primary sources you actually have, which of course you don't. The possibility that some of the other Gospel writers borrowed from Mark cannot logically be discounted. There is no evidence at all how many sources Mark consulted, or even that his sources claimed to be eyewitnesses.

Johnny, I originally wrote that back on 3/22 to help explain why “argumentum consensus” is a fallacy. What I wrote is an example of why consensus can’t be reliably used as an argument. You obviously have still missed the point, as you reply demonstrates. Your comments on Mark are not only a non sequitur, but show you still think that “argumentum consensus” is somehow a valid form of argument.

Brady wrote in a previous post: "So, Johnny, please tell us exactly how many historians there are in the world? And how many of them agree with your position?

Johnny replied: You previously found fault with argumentum consensus, and now you want me to produce one. Your deceptive nature and your stalling tactics are obvious here. You are the claimant here. I don't have to produce anything. I don't claim to know how the universe got here, but you do.

As I have said in previous posts and above in this post, I wrote those words to demonstrate why “argumentum consensus” is a fallacy. You seem to have missed all the posts that both you and I have written between then (3/22/05) and now. Go back and reread this dialog. You have missed everything.

Brady wrote in a previous post: "Oh, and please give us a list of all their names and addresses, so we can check up on you."

Johnny replied: You are the claimant. You produce them. I told you in a previous reply that I will no longer be a claimant, but you keep trying to get me to become one. It won't work.

This is from my same comments on 3/22/05. I made these comments because of your claim that concerning “consensus” through out our debates. Here are a few examples of your fallacious thinking:

From debate 1 – round 10:

Johnny rote: There is a very good reason that I am willing to take as much time as necessary regarding countering your claim that the Christian Church during the first few decades following the Resurrection contained many thousands of members. If the consensus of historical and sociological research suggests otherwise, then skeptics can credibly claim that the main reason for that small size was that only a few people at that time believed that Jesus physically rose from the dead, regardless of what the Gospels say.

From debate 2 = round 2:

Johnny wrote: Regarding “Given this approach we can know nothing about any event or person in history,” the simple truth is that most people trust a consensus of historical and sociological research to the point where they accept that consensus as being true beyond a reasonable doubt.

From debate 2 – round 6

Johnny wrote: Regarding proper methodologies, the sizeable consensus of modern historians and sociologists who disagree with you employ a methodology (whatever that methodology is) that is accepted by the majority of the American people.

Johnny also wrote: Modern, critical, scientific methods? What are you talking about? I’ve already told you on a number of occasions that a sizeable consensus of modern historians and sociologists, utilizing the best available critical, scientific methods, flatly reject your presuppositions. You may ask me how many is a sizeable consensus. If I produced credible evidence of a sizeable consensus, would you change your position? Of course not.

From debate 3 – round 6

Johnny wrote: The most logical thing for us to do is to accept a general consensus of historians regarding the Resurrection, and I have no doubt whatsoever that a general consensus of historians will agree with me regarding the Resurrection.

Well Johnny, the most logical thing for us to do is to dismiss fallacies like the argument from consensus and all your rationale for it. You have committed this fallacy in every debate we have had. Even when I have pointed it out in prior debates, you still run to it every time. It is a fallacy in all these cases and will be every other time you try to use it.

This brings me to my final comment in this post. You keep asking me to give you the argument for the resurrection and the NT documents. My question is, how would you know if it is a good argument or not? I have shown in the last half dozen posts that your thinking is riddled with fallacy after fallacy. There are even ten or so new fallacies in your most current post that I haven’t got to yet. You have demonstrated in prior posts that you have no idea of how inductive arguments work. You don’t know how to tell if an inductive argument is cogent or if the conclusion is strong. This was demonstrated in our past debate when you suggested that we use Moreland’s argument. You agreed to his criteria, but you rejected his conclusion even though you were unable to show that he didn’t meet any of the criterion in his argument. You simply tried to throw out several of the criterion after you had already agreed to use them. This is just embarrassing for you.

The first give away was at the beginning of this debate when you demanded that I not use logic to analyze your arguments. What kind of debate is it when the first thing a debater wants to throw out is logic? What do we use then; Illogic? Well, you have been doing that a bit. But it has to stop now. If you have no rational arguments to use, then we are done.

Moreland’s argument for the resurrection still stands. I have also offered Bruce’s argument for the reliability of the NT documents. Both of these men use methodologies developed and used by historians to determine history. Their methods are both inductive and objective. Both arguments are cogent and have strong conclusions. Unless you can show that they are not cogent, using the rules of induction the arguments are made and stand.

Please remember the proposition of this debate: The only rational position is to affirm the Resurrection of Jesus. So far, as has been demonstrated, you have only offered irrational arguments (i.e. fallacies). Unless you have a rational argument, don’t bother replying; more fallacies are just boring.

Brady

 

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